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South African Gold Shares – a good place to invest or not? By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch | July 03, 2008
We have been asked whether South African gold shares remain a good investment? Our stock answer will be from now on, yes, in the longer term. How could we say that when it is becoming apparent to all that the political and economic climate of South Africa is decaying and looks likely to continue to decay as far as one can see ahead?

In
"Global Watch - The Gold Forecaster", we present
the global picture, as it relates to gold and its price whilst synthesising
these factors to forecast the gold price.
The
price of gold is an amalgam of diverse and changing influences,
from Currencies to Jewellery, from Investors to Speculators. From
Asia, to India, to Australia, to Canada, to South Africa, to the
U.S.A. and to Asia, the gold price is of interest to all. It cannot
be seen in isolation as a metal, but must be understood as a Global
Thermometer measuring monetary, political, economic, stability as
well as the raw demand / supply features of the metal itself.
These
factors do not merely add up to the price but interact in sometimes
strange ways, to produce the gold price. For example, rising prices
often lead consequently to rising demand, as the appetite for the
metal grows. Its price may rise in one currency and fall in another,
at the same time. Overall, it reacts sensitively to the overall
level of global stability, which, in turn, gives us the gold price.
It
is our task in this letter to track these different features, giving
you both the Technical Analysis and the Fundamental
features impacting on the gold price each week. It is our goal to
help you to understand and profit from this market, wherever you
are on this globe, in a professional manner. We welcome any input
or observations you may have, which contribute to the enhancement
of this service.
Contributing
Authors:
Julian
Philips' history in the financial world goes back to 1970, after
leaving the British Army having been an Officer in the Light Infantry,
serving in Malaya, Mauritius, and Belfast. After a brief period
in Timber Management, Julian joined the London Stock Exchange, qualifying
as a member. He specialised from the beginning in currencies, gold
and the "Dollar Premium". At the time, the gold / currency world
exploded into action after the floating of the $ and the Pound Sterling.
He wrote on gold and the $ premium in magazines, Accountancy and
The International Currency Review.
Julian
moved to South Africa, where he was appointed a Macro economist
for the Electricity Supply Commission, guiding currency decisions
on the multi-Billion foreign Loan Portfolio, before joining Chase
Manhattan the the U.K. Merchant Bank, Hill Samuel, in Johannesburg,
specialising in gold. He moved to Capetown, where establishing the
Fund Management department of the Board of Executors.
Julian returned to the 'Gold World' over two years ago and established
"Gold - Authentic Money" and now contributing to
"Global Watch - The Gold Forecaster"
Peter
Spina shares his technical and fundamental insights into the
precious metals markets including the lucrative metal equities with
a strong focus on investment opportunities in the junior and exploration
sector.
Peter's
experience with the precious metal markets started back in the mid-1990s,
which led to the creation of GoldSeek.com
back in 1995. Today GoldSeek.com ranks in the top three global gold
sites and its sister site, SilverSeek.com
ranks as the most visited silver website in the world.
Back
at the start of the new secular precious metals bull market, Peter
established the techically-focused subscription newsletter, Gold
Seeker Report, which at the start of 2005 was merged into the more
comprehensive Gold Forecaster service.
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